One of the biggest challenges in forecasting is creating accurate forecasts that leverage the variables that impact demand.
Many forecasting processes rely on univariate (single input) models that extrapolate the demand history. Forecast Pro’s Expert Selection mode automates this process and, in many cases, works quite well.
However, univariate models don’t always capture the whole story. If your demand is impacted by external forces (e.g., price, promotions, weather, etc.) then leveraging additional inputs will often improve forecast accuracy.
In this free one-hour webinar Eric Stellwagen will explore different types of model inputs and explain when they can add value. He will discuss the following inputs and illustrate how they are applied using Forecast Pro:
- Weighting Transformations
- Analogy Series
- Event Schedules
- Explanatory Variables
- Dummy Variables
Can’t attend the live webinar? Register for the session and we will notify you via email when the recording is available for on-demand viewing.
Eric Stellwagen is the co-founder of Business Forecast Systems, Inc. (BFS) and the co-author of the Forecast Pro software product line. With more than 30 years of expertise in the field, he regularly presents workshops and publishes on the topic of business forecasting, and is widely recognized as a leading educator on the subject. Drawing upon his extensive consulting experience helping leading organizations to address their forecasting challenges, Eric infuses his classes with practical approaches and uses real-world data to illustrate concepts. Eric served on the board of directors of the International Institute of Forecasters (IIF) for 12 years and is currently serving on the practitioner advisory board of Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting.